Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7bf021aaabb016eff73c73dd26f9ba227e1ab1d574c4bbd54ceccf7bf6150c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 25c | 3,389$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.44 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 33c | 1,934$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 652$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…4c3dbacked Yes | 71c | 349.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 32c | 346.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 71c | 314.79$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 310.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 66c | 296$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 31c | 282.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Yes | 70c | 142.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 29c | 139.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 30c | 131.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…af5cbacked Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 71c | 74.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 25c | 59.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Yes | 71c | 58.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Yes | 70c | 47.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 73c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…323cbacked Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.