Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ff39023e97b9e7faba4f64a1d636ab413bf853ca824b22e7347496085e6ea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof GIANTX, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 4,100$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.97 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GIANTX | 40c | 2,757$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.92 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX | 40c | 943.52$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.84 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 714.42$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GIANTX | 36c | 708.85$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed GIANTX | 35c | 552.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 461$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed GIANTX | 38c | 406$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 336.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.71 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked GIANTX | 24c | 329.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked GIANTX | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed GIANTX | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed GIANTX | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GIANTX | 16c | 237.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 229.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GIANTX | 33c | 201$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 193.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX | 16c | 168.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed GIANTX | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked GIANTX | 19c | 153$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 103.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GIANTX | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed GIANTX | 20c | 99.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed GIANTX | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed GIANTX | 38c | 85.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 83.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 79.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked GIANTX | 21c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 71.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GIANTX | 22c | 69.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed GIANTX | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked GIANTX | 22c | 54.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 44.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed GIANTX | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 33.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 33.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed GIANTX | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 24.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.