Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9878cae002a56e3ea9117925dce3c3d76c10c0b7e2a6cb9613ccbf493266a005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GIANTX | 60c | 784.68$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.1 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 738.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.34 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 510$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked GIANTX | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX | 64c | 184.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GIANTX | 59c | 177.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 172.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 128.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…bf50backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 89.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 86.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed GIANTX | 61c | 80.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX | 62c | 75.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked GIANTX | 45c | 66.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 47.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 46.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 44.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed GIANTX | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked GIANTX | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed GIANTX | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 21.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed GIANTX | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.