TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof GIANTX, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Karmine Corp62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70028955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX38c9,398$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.2112951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp73c5,627$4,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.5810455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed GIANTX31c4,227$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.0440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14050944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp65c1,446$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.6756551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked GIANTX12c1,385$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2326650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GIANTX27c1,087$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked GIANTX38c1,048$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.2421055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Karmine Corp63c772.22$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0663955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX40c697.69$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.151,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c18…7a4ebacked GIANTX25c690$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GIANTX25c642$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GIANTX37c583.02$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.811,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed GIANTX42c523.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204949%24 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Karmine Corp64c493.83$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7833942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed GIANTX20c493.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX39c468.78$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.561,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Karmine Corp65c465.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0512856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GIANTX38c426.5$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0740944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed GIANTX4c383$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3210217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GIANTX42c377.33$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2668949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed GIANTX38c343.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GIANTX37c311$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1193148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Karmine Corp69c291.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.145532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe896…a4c7backed Karmine Corp70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.715650%28 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x227a…de71backed GIANTX52c279.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.351957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Karmine Corp63c254.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2425347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed GIANTX12c253.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.539640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed GIANTX38c238$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4436145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15e6…bb76backed Karmine Corp62c232.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp58c203.21$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7778562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed GIANTX36c197.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1522346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Karmine Corp62c161.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4219847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp57c140$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GIANTX39c134.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed GIANTX39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GIANTX37c122$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed GIANTX33c106.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1228241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed GIANTX19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed GIANTX37c101.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1356357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed GIANTX24c99.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8914737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Karmine Corp62c99.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7318049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed Karmine Corp52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Karmine Corp63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2434954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Karmine Corp64c92.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4611738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c8a…5d15backed GIANTX38c88.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp75c87.15$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3665347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked GIANTX39c86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5496245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed GIANTX38c75.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7427956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Karmine Corp71c69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.116963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked GIANTX30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Karmine Corp65c57.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1513158%76 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed GIANTX34c51.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed GIANTX41c50.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GIANTX25c50.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7438950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked GIANTX42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f86…e074backed GIANTX33c48.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Karmine Corp57c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4999846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd924…aff0backed GIANTX39c38.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f9…9de3backed Karmine Corp73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5181…504bbacked Karmine Corp73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e8…e69cbacked Karmine Corp65c33.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.585042%21 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed Karmine Corp65c33.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.585554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked GIANTX38c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5424551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked Karmine Corp76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked GIANTX36c31.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.495759.6%34 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed GIANTX37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.125245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Karmine Corp76c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.365967.8%40 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb3…225ebacked Karmine Corp62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Karmine Corp60c17.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.