Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab07a128c410f2e6ba8ec43f43f281e857f91180a19e1f2849cebebfc594868b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof SK Nebula, Gentle Mates GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Gentle Mates GC | 62c | 5,528$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.72 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked SK Nebula | 42c | 5,015$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.05 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Gentle Mates GC | 56c | 1,777$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.88 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SK Nebula | 43c | 1,378$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.66 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 1,133$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.95 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SK Nebula | 34c | 1,038$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.09 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Gentle Mates GC | 59c | 1,007$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.87 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 749.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.49 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed SK Nebula | 38c | 687.14$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked SK Nebula | 40c | 554$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Gentle Mates GC | 60c | 515.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.96 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 8c | 377.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…778abacked Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 346.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.09 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Nebula | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates GC | 76c | 292.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked SK Nebula | 34c | 288$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed SK Nebula | 31c | 257.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SK Nebula | 34c | 240$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Gentle Mates GC | 59c | 236.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed SK Nebula | 44c | 219.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 208.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Nebula | 39c | 204.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SK Nebula | 43c | 204.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 174.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed SK Nebula | 28c | 173$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 171.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Gentle Mates GC | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Gentle Mates GC | 59c | 161.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked SK Nebula | 43c | 158$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked SK Nebula | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked SK Nebula | 43c | 155.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked SK Nebula | 43c | 150.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates GC | 64c | 146.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 144$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…3ceabacked SK Nebula | 23c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed SK Nebula | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SK Nebula | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed SK Nebula | 40c | 116.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…4f56backed Gentle Mates GC | 74c | 112.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked SK Nebula | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Gentle Mates GC | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SK Nebula | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Gentle Mates GC | 59c | 90.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked SK Nebula | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Gentle Mates GC | 60c | 83.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…e85fbacked Gentle Mates GC | 65c | 82.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…4122backed SK Nebula | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SK Nebula | 42c | 76.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed SK Nebula | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Gentle Mates GC | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 61.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked SK Nebula | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gentle Mates GC | 59c | 43.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Gentle Mates GC | 59c | 43.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Gentle Mates GC | 68c | 40.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 35.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SK Nebula | 40c | 34.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Gentle Mates GC | 76c | 31.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 30.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…4404backed Gentle Mates GC | 63c | 28.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked SK Nebula | 42c | 28.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed SK Nebula | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Gentle Mates GC | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates GC won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.