Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75bb750eba07d9e0fd7b06ba820f97940547b31615770bebb453a1b24eebc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof SK Nebula, Gentle Mates GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed Gentle Mates GC | 65c | 334.21$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +10.4wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SK Nebula | 28c | 310.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed SK Nebula | 20c | 227.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Gentle Mates GC | 74c | 133$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed SK Nebula | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 37c | 109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Nebula | 29c | 97.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SK Nebula | 19c | 86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Gentle Mates GC | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed SK Nebula | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates GC | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SK Nebula | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SK Nebula | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SK Nebula | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Gentle Mates GC | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Gentle Mates GC | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Gentle Mates GC | 64c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageGentle Mates GC won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.