Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a2780f82eb2a8ec66b3af941122f9c2c64395750dc371d5bfebaee7168ae6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX GCof GIANTX GC, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FOKUS Sakura | 48c | 1,672$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.04 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 1,304$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.68 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked FOKUS Sakura | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed GIANTX GC | 57c | 565.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed GIANTX GC | 50c | 420$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed GIANTX GC | 50c | 397.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 389.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked GIANTX GC | 55c | 336.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed FOKUS Sakura | 42c | 336.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 334.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 327$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked GIANTX GC | 51c | 312.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX GC | 70c | 301.44$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 297.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 268.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…1718backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 245$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FOKUS Sakura | 48c | 244.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 242.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 239.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 239.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…c944backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 226.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 222.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 219.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed GIANTX GC | 56c | 217.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 39c | 216.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed GIANTX GC | 51c | 207.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 204.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked GIANTX GC | 50c | 201.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed GIANTX GC | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed GIANTX GC | 54c | 163$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…cc93backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 159$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed GIANTX GC | 63c | 157.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 44c | 153.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FOKUS Sakura | 46c | 143.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed GIANTX GC | 62c | 130.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 126.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked FOKUS Sakura | 40c | 123.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 115.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…e85fbacked GIANTX GC | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked GIANTX GC | 62c | 111.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed GIANTX GC | 61c | 103.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked GIANTX GC | 58c | 103.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FOKUS Sakura | 50c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked GIANTX GC | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…7b1bbacked GIANTX GC | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 42c | 90.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS Sakura | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 70.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS Sakura | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 69.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GIANTX GC | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked FOKUS Sakura | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 57.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 57.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked GIANTX GC | 60c | 53.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GIANTX GC | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked FOKUS Sakura | 50c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 43.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FOKUS Sakura | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked GIANTX GC | 58c | 34.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked GIANTX GC | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…4349backed GIANTX GC | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked FOKUS Sakura | 45c | 28.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed GIANTX GC | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed GIANTX GC | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GIANTX GC | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.