Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbaa6b36359e189909bf3028a48a1bdffba9cdcf0080caf0cc11445d126b75e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Minds Orchidof GIANTX GC, Twisted Minds Orchid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed GIANTX GC | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.98 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 643.4$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 48c | 206.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 63c | 188.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GIANTX GC | 35c | 174$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…1b27backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 70c | 148.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked GIANTX GC | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed GIANTX GC | 44c | 126.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 32c | 122$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b34fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 107.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed GIANTX GC | 59c | 101.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GIANTX GC | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 43c | 75.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 35c | 73.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 70.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 20c | 70.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 71c | 69.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…50c1backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 75c | 66.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…8a03backed GIANTX GC | 38c | 65.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked GIANTX GC | 57c | 63.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GIANTX GC | 32c | 63.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed GIANTX GC | 59c | 54.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GIANTX GC | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 73c | 47.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GIANTX GC | 29c | 46.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GIANTX GC | 32c | 40.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed GIANTX GC | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked GIANTX GC | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked GIANTX GC | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 43c | 36.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…c798backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…7b1bbacked GIANTX GC | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed GIANTX GC | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…225ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX GC | 57c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.