CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fc32e3ecb33d06dcefd3b771cc4f91ae23b9ca410ccdb8205181ceddefe21f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NEW VISION | 25c | 6,418$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.31 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed SPARTA | 68c | 5,807$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.1 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 64c | 2,385$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SPARTA | 70c | 1,096$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed NEW VISION | 31c | 986$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NEW VISION | 35c | 913.48$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NEW VISION | 36c | 847.24$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed SPARTA | 76c | 749.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…58c0backed SPARTA | 74c | 727.71$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed NEW VISION | 37c | 650$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed NEW VISION | 34c | 565.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NEW VISION | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked NEW VISION | 32c | 493.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NEW VISION | 22c | 481.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed NEW VISION | 36c | 405.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NEW VISION | 26c | 395.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked NEW VISION | 34c | 382.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked NEW VISION | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed NEW VISION | 34c | 356.92$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…c597backed NEW VISION | 34c | 347.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed SPARTA | 68c | 326.87$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed SPARTA | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed SPARTA | 71c | 307.37$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed NEW VISION | 29c | 286.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked NEW VISION | 28c | 282.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed SPARTA | 75c | 242.09$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked NEW VISION | 35c | 238.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked NEW VISION | 33c | 202.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 74c | 193.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 67c | 191.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SPARTA | 71c | 182.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed SPARTA | 66c | 178.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed NEW VISION | 30c | 177.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…1152backed SPARTA | 66c | 160.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed SPARTA | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked NEW VISION | 34c | 153.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed NEW VISION | 28c | 142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed NEW VISION | 27c | 139.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SPARTA | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…3007backed NEW VISION | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NEW VISION | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked NEW VISION | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked NEW VISION | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NEW VISION | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…9b8fbacked NEW VISION | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed NEW VISION | 35c | 71.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SPARTA | 65c | 66.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NEW VISION | 28c | 56.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NEW VISION | 25c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked NEW VISION | 37c | 51.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked SPARTA | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NEW VISION | 35c | 45.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed NEW VISION | 33c | 36.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed NEW VISION | 33c | 35.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 78c | 30.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed NEW VISION | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…540dbacked SPARTA | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…9903backed SPARTA | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed SPARTA | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SPARTA | 69c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked SPARTA | 77c | 13.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.