CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a258e98e9e346e99138bbf6a70d5fadcc0b7db8c68649a22ca680ec5f8d4fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 46c | 4,583$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.43 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed NEW VISION | 51c | 4,099$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.72 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NEW VISION | 54c | 1,348$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.28 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 49c | 509.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed NEW VISION | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked SPARTA | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed NEW VISION | 57c | 361.36$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SPARTA | 49c | 360$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked NEW VISION | 56c | 231$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked NEW VISION | 56c | 231$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked NEW VISION | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NEW VISION | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed NEW VISION | 38c | 116.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SPARTA | 63c | 116.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked NEW VISION | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed NEW VISION | 54c | 82.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NEW VISION | 55c | 61.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 54c | 61.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed SPARTA | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 240 | 65.4%157 W · 83 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed SPARTA | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.