CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce6eb12baa911415db410d2cc600a844f2c8a2dd22b4e2bfe189c79819b0368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 48c | 2,610$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NEW VISION | 53c | 2,000$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NEW VISION | 30c | 1,000$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked NEW VISION | 49c | 520.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked NEW VISION | 49c | 207.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed NEW VISION | 45c | 151.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NEW VISION | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…8c5ebacked NEW VISION | 28c | 85.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NEW VISION | 45c | 84.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…fcb4backed NEW VISION | 28c | 66.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed NEW VISION | 28c | 61.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed NEW VISION | 25c | 60.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked NEW VISION | 24c | 56.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…08e8backed NEW VISION | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed NEW VISION | 54c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.