CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf48faa02ea153d071ca5e0c69e4688f9b42248fdd2bda76a4db698d209138a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 77c | 31,081$24,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020.56 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NEW VISION | 20c | 11,150$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.1 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed NEW VISION | 28c | 6,519$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.05 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NEW VISION | 27c | 5,317$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NEW VISION | 20c | 3,096$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 64c | 1,108$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NEW VISION | 14c | 1,044$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed NEW VISION | 12c | 826.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NEW VISION | 24c | 655.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed NEW VISION | 8c | 627.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed NEW VISION | 27c | 533$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NEW VISION | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked NEW VISION | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NEW VISION | 24c | 453.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed NEW VISION | 21c | 359.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed SPARTA | 79c | 341.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NEW VISION | 15c | 279.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NEW VISION | 23c | 266$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…3007backed NEW VISION | 17c | 230.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked NEW VISION | 30c | 225$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA | 73c | 222.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked NEW VISION | 23c | 222.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NEW VISION | 27c | 205.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 19c | 187.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed NEW VISION | 27c | 171.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed NEW VISION | 27c | 156$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NEW VISION | 15c | 135.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NEW VISION | 22c | 125$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NEW VISION | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed NEW VISION | 29c | 84.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed NEW VISION | 27c | 82.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NEW VISION | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked SPARTA | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed NEW VISION | 17c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed NEW VISION | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed SPARTA | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed NEW VISION | 29c | 45.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked NEW VISION | 27c | 42.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed SPARTA | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NEW VISION | 35c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed NEW VISION | 36c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SPARTA | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed SPARTA | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked SPARTA | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.