Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7e4fbdb3bb6102e6fe47e1b2f0b753839a78cb1c242ef10ebad3cfe8f530b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Global Esportsof Nongshim RedForce, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 2,080$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.17 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Global Esports | 74c | 1,395$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.32 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Global Esports | 56c | 1,146$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.47 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 1,137$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked Global Esports | 74c | 535.09$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce | 17c | 501.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Nongshim RedForce | 28c | 422.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 15c | 372.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Global Esports | 51c | 308$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Global Esports | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 268.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Global Esports | 45c | 246$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 238.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 232.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nongshim RedForce | 31c | 219.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Global Esports | 61c | 219$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nongshim RedForce | 18c | 214.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nongshim RedForce | 12c | 212.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Nongshim RedForce | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Global Esports | 60c | 205.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Global Esports | 60c | 194$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce | 28c | 194$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 177.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Global Esports | 73c | 176$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Global Esports | 60c | 175.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…c8a8backed Global Esports | 76c | 156.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Global Esports | 65c | 150.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 132.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Global Esports | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 113.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 22c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Nongshim RedForce | 15c | 88.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 86.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Global Esports | 63c | 82.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Global Esports | 76c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Nongshim RedForce | 27c | 73.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nongshim RedForce | 22c | 68.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…dd5dbacked Global Esports | 55c | 57.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…be1cbacked Global Esports | 54c | 55.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 30c | 54.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 43.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 42.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Global Esports | 68c | 35.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 35.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…3cabbacked Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 31.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 30.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Global Esports | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)Global Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Global Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.