Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf19108b62bdbc36d048cea8c1382108d5c94bd41e9af4507365de676808d17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 5,161$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports | 34c | 1,726$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.3 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Global Esports | 43c | 1,462$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.94 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Global Esports | 23c | 1,430$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Global Esports | 43c | 999.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Global Esports | 31c | 846.55$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 750$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Global Esports | 23c | 640.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Global Esports | 37c | 623$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Global Esports | 46c | 603.83$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.65 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Global Esports | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Global Esports | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 338.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Global Esports | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 333.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Global Esports | 41c | 312.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e3…6dbdbacked Global Esports | 19c | 309.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 281.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 260.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 259.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Global Esports | 4c | 251.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…e145backed Global Esports | 46c | 250.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 249.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Global Esports | 35c | 237.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Global Esports | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 211.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Global Esports | 26c | 207.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0bb1backed Global Esports | 11c | 206.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 193.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Global Esports | 11c | 183.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Global Esports | 43c | 163.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Global Esports | 27c | 130.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Global Esports | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 122.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Global Esports | 39c | 121.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Global Esports | 48c | 119.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Global Esports | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Global Esports | 18c | 106.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Global Esports | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 86.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 84.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 80.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Global Esports | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Global Esports | 38c | 75.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Global Esports | 19c | 67.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Global Esports | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…3cabbacked Global Esports | 46c | 61.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Global Esports | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…9155backed Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 55.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 52.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked Global Esports | 31c | 48.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Global Esports | 49c | 47.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 42.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…be1cbacked Global Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…dd5dbacked Global Esports | 49c | 34.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Global Esports | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 26.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Global Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)Global Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Global Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.