Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x642333c16dcfe02477f6b0ff12d4a9708f136952887399dd908d80e606b196f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, VfB eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked G2 NORD | 80c | 18,888$15,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.75 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked G2 NORD | 79c | 8,838$7,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.05 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed VfB eSports | 20c | 7,009$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed VfB eSports | 20c | 5,000$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.57 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed VfB eSports | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked VfB eSports | 19c | 4,805$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.98 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked VfB eSports | 19c | 4,245$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed VfB eSports | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 325 | 34.8%113 W · 212 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed VfB eSports | 20c | 2,590$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed VfB eSports | 19c | 2,273$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.76 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed VfB eSports | 20c | 2,249$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.71 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 2,215$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 595 | 48.2%287 W · 308 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed VfB eSports | 20c | 1,149$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked VfB eSports | 21c | 999.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed G2 NORD | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed G2 NORD | 76c | 652.08$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed VfB eSports | 19c | 526.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked VfB eSports | 20c | 299.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed VfB eSports | 17c | 239.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 204.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked VfB eSports | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 186$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 178.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked VfB eSports | 19c | 174.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed G2 NORD | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 164 | 62.2%102 W · 62 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c3…a13dbacked VfB eSports | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed VfB eSports | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed VfB eSports | 23c | 110.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked VfB eSports | 23c | 88.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed VfB eSports | 19c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked VfB eSports | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed VfB eSports | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed VfB eSports | 20c | 55.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 424 | 50.5%214 W · 210 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked G2 NORD | 76c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BG2 NORD won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.