Lol · resolved market
LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c75733faff7b506c64a14cc45a4c6778dbd9e50953051e5c539ce6d7caf818e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof VfB eSports, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed G2 NORD | 80c | 18,430$14,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed VfB eSports | 20c | 4,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed VfB eSports | 20c | 4,467$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.99 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked VfB eSports | 20c | 3,305$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.9 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed VfB eSports | 12c | 3,246$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed VfB eSports | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed VfB eSports | 17c | 2,443$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed VfB eSports | 12c | 1,730$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed VfB eSports | 12c | 1,572$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed VfB eSports | 16c | 1,411$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed VfB eSports | 12c | 828.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 759.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VfB eSports | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked VfB eSports | 17c | 693.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked VfB eSports | 15c | 671.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked VfB eSports | 20c | 584.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VfB eSports | 11c | 474.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked VfB eSports | 18c | 410.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 369.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked VfB eSports | 8c | 238.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked VfB eSports | 23c | 225.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked VfB eSports | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed G2 NORD | 75c | 219.61$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed VfB eSports | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed VfB eSports | 22c | 197.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 NORD | 76c | 196.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed VfB eSports | 19c | 157.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed VfB eSports | 20c | 157.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked G2 NORD | 75c | 152.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed VfB eSports | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed VfB eSports | 20c | 149.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed VfB eSports | 18c | 126.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked G2 NORD | 75c | 120.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked VfB eSports | 12c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…4c1bbacked VfB eSports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed G2 NORD | 80c | 89.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed VfB eSports | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed VfB eSports | 14c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked VfB eSports | 17c | 77.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed G2 NORD | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed VfB eSports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f8…1d2fbacked G2 NORD | 80c | 12.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BG2 NORD won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.