MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33bd6490319d0926955bb451d81e3f345bf6e6d41a0a85d69c02f658277a4de4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof San Diego Padres, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 55,398$27,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,145 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 31,553$16,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,227 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 14,305$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.53 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 12,199$7,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.84 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 8,928$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 4,887$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.04 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.57 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 2,752$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.67 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 2,281$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.18 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,153$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.69 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,091$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.47 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 2,000$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 1,505$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 1,401$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,133$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.97 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.02 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.21 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 829.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 816.92$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 741.08$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.71 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 648.57$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 639$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 607.75$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.81 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 598.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 537.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 521.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 455.45$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 455.19$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 395.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 381$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6241backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 355$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 347.13$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 343.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 306$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 202.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 189.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…ccc5backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 180.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…971abacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 173.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 153.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 152.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 138.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 138$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…f0c9backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 123.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 122.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 117.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…027dbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 111.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 107.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 105.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 104.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 308 | 48.1%148 W · 160 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 90.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 89.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 89.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 89.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 85.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 80.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 480 | 49.6%238 W · 242 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 79.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 77.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 72.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 68.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 66.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 66.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 65.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 63.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 63.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…8cdbbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 59.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 57.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 42.9%99 W · 132 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 56.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.