Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b353851d7efdad28ba51ff56798653b2935e2934be9e5eceacb84ae4207f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Esprit Shōnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 10,860$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 8,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 4,850$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 6c | 3,294$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 348 | 35.3%123 W · 225 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 3,045$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.89 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 2,159$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 2,030$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 1,675$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 1,409$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Esprit Shōnen | 5c | 1,369$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 977.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 771.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 732.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…315ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 597.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 560$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…2210backed Esprit Shōnen | 3c | 456$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 338$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 330$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 324.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 13c | 263.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 256.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 207.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Esprit Shōnen | 7c | 206.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 205.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 202.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Esprit Shōnen | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 138.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…77e3backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Esprit Shōnen | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.