TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-10-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6485…bcc2backed Yes50c2,478$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No38c2,362$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.8540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f60…d180backed No43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed No1c1,847$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+1,419.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes61c1,714$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.94922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No26c1,240$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.9237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes78c1,082$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.989361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No39c999.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Yes61c841.33$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.213650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c713.85$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3131944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No37c696.82$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.097240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes63c417.96$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3215554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b30…7cf1backed No43c365.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e8…c84bbacked Yes64c358.48$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Yes63c322.1$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f8…d7d3backed No39c294.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes61c265.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9110650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa691…8ea2backed Yes64c263.47$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Yes61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No40c222$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.217143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed No40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No35c165.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.935554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No41c147.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.19943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes60c141.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No40c124.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No40c113.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.714450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes59c109.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f7…aeb2backed Yes61c103.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f6…8afbbacked No38c103.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x208d…362dbacked Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No39c94.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes60c93.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.943534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0be0…5656backed Yes60c89.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…ebb5backed Yes61c82.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes64c79.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Yes59c79.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.112147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506425%16 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked No40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No38c75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.813652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4338…b376backed Yes61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Yes61c69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes61c68.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…f634backed Yes23c51.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick22cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ac…e4a5backed No39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+67.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.516060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…b19dbacked Yes62c48.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceba…9898backed No43c46.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.26036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…68f5backed Yes63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf811…c162backed Yes68c36.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9570%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes63c36.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe85e…8625backed No39c32.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0a…a616backed Yes62c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4697…92b3backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdffd…0925backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes63c29.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.352070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes62c27.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ee…6c29backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed No43c24.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.044447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…fb87backed Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e00…14ecbacked Yes62c18.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…fc1abacked Yes63c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…4275backed Yes63c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa468…d83bbacked Yes63c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x139d…ef16backed Yes63c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f49…5ee1backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.