Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb407b8b3f97225fed8d8e24e236f971f3373d70a9bb82d4405662fccdc67a716

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Vitalityof FUT Esports, Team Vitality
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,104 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports	69c	5,961$4,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,115.43	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Vitality	58c	5,215$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.77	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Vitality	38c	3,495$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.82	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Vitality	34c	2,435$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.04	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed FUT Esports	65c	2,305$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.25	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality	61c	1,490$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.25	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed FUT Esports	66c	1,329$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.96	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed FUT Esports	39c	1,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed FUT Esports	56c	813.25$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.93	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports	38c	733.86$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.06	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FUT Esports	50c	561.85$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.99	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports	40c	499.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality	52c	485.82$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.04	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports	59c	410.12$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.3	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Vitality	53c	337.48$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.74	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Vitality	59c	335.26$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.59	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Team Vitality	62c	304.33$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.81	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports	65c	288.01$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.21	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed FUT Esports	49c	277.52$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.95	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Vitality	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Team Vitality	51c	238.14$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Vitality	43c	210$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.24	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FUT Esports	69c	202$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.38	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed FUT Esports	41c	201.7$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Vitality	57c	194.29$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.85	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Team Vitality	45c	191$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.05	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed FUT Esports	40c	180$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports	45c	171.22$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.05	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a6b…66b6backed FUT Esports	45c	170$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.08	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Team Vitality	59c	168.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.44	32	81.3%26 W · 6 L	+8.0wins	+0.25per pick	56cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed FUT Esports	25c	154.26$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.53	159	31.4%50 W · 109 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed FUT Esports	55c	151.82$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FUT Esports	37c	151$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	271	45%122 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed FUT Esports	41c	150$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed FUT Esports	41c	150$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Team Vitality	38c	146$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.54	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked FUT Esports	45c	138.54$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.97	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports	54c	136.61$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.17	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Vitality	44c	126.07$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcead…afeabacked FUT Esports	48c	115.16$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked FUT Esports	52c	107.65$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed FUT Esports	36c	102$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.73	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Vitality	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked FUT Esports	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Team Vitality	50c	99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65eb…e197backed FUT Esports	21c	89.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed FUT Esports	62c	89.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.49	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Team Vitality	48c	88.64$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.09	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Team Vitality	25c	81.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Team Vitality	61c	75.82$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	182	61%111 W · 71 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed FUT Esports	38c	75.05$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports	53c	75.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.74	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed FUT Esports	38c	75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Vitality	37c	71.79$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.58	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Team Vitality	38c	70$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.4	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed FUT Esports	60c	64.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.66	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FUT Esports	52c	63.46$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.01	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Team Vitality	51c	59.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.02	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x36c9…c678backed FUT Esports	31c	57.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Team Vitality	58c	51.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.69	428	40%171 W · 257 L	-22.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Vitality	50c	51.38$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.69	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Vitality	67c	50.75$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Team Vitality	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…bb39backed Team Vitality	61c	41.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2d…e2cfbacked FUT Esports	37c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+35%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked FUT Esports	52c	38.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Vitality	46c	37.73$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Vitality	56c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.69	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe275…2450backed Team Vitality	45c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.29	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95bb…288dbacked FUT Esports	64c	35$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FUT Esports	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34d8…b9d4backed FUT Esports	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Team Vitality	51c	24.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd652…6354backed FUT Esports	51c	21.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event