Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc33e04977802e6fee4f795fd8f434e99d5da3f55fb65d9fb5f9cc6698205af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 64c | 14,791$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.21 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed FUT Esports | 56c | 11,600$6,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.78 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Vitality | 44c | 10,936$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.3 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Team Vitality | 14c | 5,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.7 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Vitality | 32c | 4,824$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.69 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Vitality | 44c | 3,500$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Vitality | 46c | 2,725$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.2 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Vitality | 32c | 2,684$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.79 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports | 79c | 1,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.33 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Team Vitality | 32c | 1,018$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FUT Esports | 44c | 683.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.84 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FUT Esports | 44c | 620$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Vitality | 49c | 329.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 298.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed FUT Esports | 54c | 233.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality | 56c | 217.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed FUT Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Vitality | 42c | 182.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 181.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 168.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed FUT Esports | 43c | 160.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Team Vitality | 61c | 154$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Vitality | 46c | 140.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Vitality | 35c | 107.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed FUT Esports | 61c | 106.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Team Vitality | 24c | 106.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality | 49c | 99.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed FUT Esports | 50c | 98.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked FUT Esports | 74c | 86.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Vitality | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Vitality | 50c | 82.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 81.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FUT Esports | 66c | 76.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Vitality | 59c | 66.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Vitality | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Vitality | 41c | 62.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Vitality | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Team Vitality | 36c | 54.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…057ebacked Team Vitality | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Team Vitality | 57c | 45.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FUT Esports | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…2f9ebacked Team Vitality | 33c | 40.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…bb39backed Team Vitality | 50c | 38.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed FUT Esports | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed FUT Esports | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Vitality | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FUT Esports | 56c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Vitality | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed FUT Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FUT Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.