CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x126d59fcb73dafb7fc1671c4c7773532311f8fab922438cba659483e7488d141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof 100 Thieves, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 4,439$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.57 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 2,500$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.4 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 1,177$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.65 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 895.49$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.33 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 708$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 559.7$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.06 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 389.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 333.15$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 325.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 230.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 130.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 114.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 114$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 107.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 47.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 44.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…0053backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 43.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 32.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group DNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.