TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, DetonatioN FocusMe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed DetonatioN FocusMe32c598.82$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6242035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DetonatioN FocusMe32c453.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5393248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T171c393$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1281834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked T171c315.05$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.361,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed DetonatioN FocusMe34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.317150.9%87 W · 84 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb961…5554backed DetonatioN FocusMe5c266.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.053426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed T168c264.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed T161c208.11$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1663948%307 W · 332 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked T179c183.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7312962.8%81 W · 48 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed DetonatioN FocusMe34c176.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0446746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DetonatioN FocusMe25c116.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe24c83.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed T168c59.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.128144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked DetonatioN FocusMe34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked T171c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6540454.7%221 W · 183 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked T161c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6532657.4%187 W · 139 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed DetonatioN FocusMe34c31.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7917332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.