Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0da99190ca8443d4e1fab31a4404552e1c49c5195ddcec0753d1a51be5e21e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 63c | 3,100$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.17 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed T1 | 36c | 797.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed T1 | 36c | 647.95$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.69 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed T1 | 38c | 526.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.3 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed T1 | 36c | 424.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.46 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed T1 | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed T1 | 38c | 284.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 | 35c | 268.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked T1 | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 124$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed T1 | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed T1 | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed T1 | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.