Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Raphael Perot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13248349e39c730073e12ec5de8d554c2232a148209c336d526d6bc4069607b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Perotof Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Raphael Perot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Raphael Perot | 38c | 17,777$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,021.79 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 61c | 13,401$8,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,110.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…fb67backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 65c | 2,755$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.05 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 38c | 1,435$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raphael Perot | 34c | 1,313$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Raphael Perot | 40c | 765.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Raphael Perot | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Raphael Perot | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 474$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 271$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…09f1backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 225$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 190.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Raphael Perot | 45c | 171.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Raphael Perot | 61c | 170.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 159.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 47c | 158.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 61c | 100.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Raphael Perot | 39c | 100.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 52.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Raphael Perot | 34c | 39.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Raphael Perot | 40c | 38.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Raphael Perot | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 60c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…a42dbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 66c | 15.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.