La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94933b8a7eaa46c7ed78f65b4f2a1d637d383c1d0268408a7436fff9ebfe4998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Getafe CFof Elche CF, Getafe CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Getafe CF | 66c | 9,900$6,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.27 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elche CF | 34c | 5,173$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Elche CF | 24c | 4,430$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.73 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Elche CF | 34c | 1,098$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.04 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Elche CF | 16c | 874.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Elche CF | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elche CF | 22c | 225.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elche CF | 35c | 223.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Getafe CF | 47c | 219.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Elche CF | 33c | 192$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Elche CF | 59c | 190$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Elche CF | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elche CF | 25c | 105.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Getafe CF | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Elche CF | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Elche CF | 18c | 88.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Elche CF | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Elche CF | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elche CF | 23c | 48.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Elche CF | 46c | 43.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Elche CF | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Elche CF | 58c | 19.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Getafe CF | 59c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)this page
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.