La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe700aaf7fd915b1fa3c8c5dddff78e899edf99300e5eb42f5f1d4185ab203ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 37c | 13,593$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.25 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 4,549$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 33c | 2,450$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 1,914$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.75 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,740$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.53 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 1,542$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.21 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,172$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 64c | 1,170$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.16 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 63c | 988.81$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 557.86$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 553.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 64c | 520$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 375.32$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 310$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 33c | 299.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 66c | 264$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 64c | 242.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 67c | 223.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 197.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 169.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 35c | 168.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 158.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 138.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 66c | 136.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 123.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 71c | 115.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 69c | 110.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 34c | 109.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 64c | 97.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 38c | 92.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 77.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 47c | 73.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 35c | 73.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 31c | 57.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…07dabacked Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 74c | 43.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 63c | 31.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Under | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Over | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 62c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 71c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 67c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.