MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68162f712fd2d46eeb22d757419e6c9ccb41ed8f662740bdfb6f3bd747f9f60d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 41c | 1,446$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 48c | 1,243$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 857.52$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 777.97$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 656$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 38c | 634.57$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.32 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 56c | 624.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 53c | 544.11$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.73 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 47c | 543.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 478.4$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…1976backed Under | 63c | 318.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 54c | 307.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 271.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 55c | 227.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 10c | 209$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 53c | 204.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 151.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 144.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 135.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 120.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 57c | 102.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 53c | 81.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 47c | 67.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 64.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 48c | 56.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 63c | 52.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 50c | 47.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 34c | 46.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 46.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 46.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 49c | 40.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 39.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 45c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 38c | 38.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 56c | 37.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 52c | 29.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 26.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 53c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 56c | 20.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.