MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b1fd02f35385a7d279752ebf61399921c9771912aeee8007cd95947d90b9da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 3,513$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 35c | 2,069$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.15 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 1,374$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 67c | 957.58$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 736.49$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 63c | 569.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 515$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 37c | 446$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 348.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 63c | 182.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 177.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 31c | 122$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 43c | 112.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 78.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 69c | 71.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 64c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 38c | 52.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 35c | 41.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 63c | 38.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 70c | 33.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 64c | 21.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.