TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over53c19,156$10,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,148.361650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c14,010$6,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,481.843,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c6,163$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.2421547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under47c4,858$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.787949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,663$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.891,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over43c1,419$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.018540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under70c1,379$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.281,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c1,374$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over25c1,350$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.496222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,021$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over48c869.09$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.031,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under60c817.08$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over54c801.25$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.272263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over54c773.61$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7517258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c755.35$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.31,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over52c747.08$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.485942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under50c561.55$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under59c554.88$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c552.56$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24958043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c530.53$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over54c511.32$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c495$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under75c442.73$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6828851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c423.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under47c286.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7522263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c273.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under47c222.69$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.025851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under49c205.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under47c201.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c198.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over50c193.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.075024%12 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1810250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under54c180.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under52c179.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0924351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under47c155.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1314957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under48c151.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.727644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over53c141.66$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6614660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over45c106.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.638241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over45c100.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9330444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83f3…9afebacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.54047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.311844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…9668backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under48c82.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.956155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…d6f3backed Over54c81.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under47c80.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c77.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over38c76.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.887245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.765240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.754050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.416955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over54c59.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over54c59.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over54c56.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over49c51.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.351442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under48c50.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.38950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over59c45.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over52c44.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.311952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over25c42.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6230957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over49c42.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9219255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Under46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3916656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Under63c38.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over52c36.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.198942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.446443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Over49c32.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.791560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Under47c30.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.213557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over52c25.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0419056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bec…aad9backed Under47c23.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over47c21.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2612346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under50c20.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.258652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.417751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over54c19.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.