Mls · resolved market
FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0485842ebfd0d2fef41b58a4fe666845ac9814f6b923b8b5ab2910e478d7cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 53c | 19,156$10,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,148.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 14,010$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.84 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 47c | 6,163$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.24 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 4,858$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.78 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,663$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.89 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 43c | 1,419$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.01 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 1,379$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.28 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 1,374$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 1,350$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.49 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.98 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 869.09$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.03 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 817.08$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.64 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 54c | 801.25$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.27 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 54c | 773.61$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.75 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 755.35$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.3 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Under | 50c | 561.55$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 59c | 554.88$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 552.56$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 530.53$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 54c | 511.32$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.11 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 495$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 75c | 442.73$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 423.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 47c | 286.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 273.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 47c | 222.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 49c | 205.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 47c | 201.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 198.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 50c | 193.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 54c | 180.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 179.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 155.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 53c | 141.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 45c | 106.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 45c | 100.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…9afebacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 48c | 82.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Over | 54c | 81.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 47c | 80.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 77.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 54c | 59.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 54c | 59.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 54c | 56.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Over | 49c | 51.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Under | 48c | 50.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 59c | 45.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 52c | 44.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 25c | 42.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 42.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 36.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 49c | 32.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 52c | 25.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed Under | 47c | 23.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 47c | 21.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 50c | 20.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.