Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d230dd5123f96e214cc3789bb5d68410d84ce2d6de83da37efe389509a3430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 6,155$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.15 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 4,049$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.94 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 2,916$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.9 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,395$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,177$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 50c | 1,118$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 1,095$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.37 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 62c | 607.75$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Under | 45c | 602.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.59 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 34c | 600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 58c | 574.1$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 52c | 542.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.15 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 55c | 538.18$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 53c | 531.93$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 511.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.38 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 445.59$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 410.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 63c | 315.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…bafbbacked Under | 39c | 312.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 65c | 307.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 244.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 65c | 203.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…3f2fbacked Under | 62c | 189.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 48c | 168.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 165.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 62c | 143.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 138.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 47c | 128.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Over | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Over | 50c | 104.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 62c | 100.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…acacbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 61.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 58.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 54c | 55.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 59c | 50.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Over | 52c | 47.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efc…9156backed Over | 54c | 41.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 50c | 40.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 36c | 40.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 47c | 35.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 47c | 29.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 26.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 49c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 65c | 16.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.