Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f2a7b02e4139044543143d96b1c4ffa9cd49ce92c5e52898d84079c88ebfd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 20,517$10,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,397.02 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 49c | 6,434$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.03 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 49c | 4,319$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.45 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 3,176$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.47 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 48c | 2,804$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.72 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 2,563$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 50c | 2,200$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.36 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 2,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 49c | 1,938$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,487$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…0f26backed Over | 48c | 1,483$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Over | 49c | 1,287$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 1,225$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.54 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 57c | 1,034$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.08 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 1,000$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.11 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 898.37$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 63c | 708.52$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 39c | 565.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 464.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.27 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Over | 47c | 267.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 260.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 208.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 10c | 149.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 128.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 45c | 128.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 57c | 88.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 51c | 80.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 71.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 64.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Over | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 39.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 53c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 75c | 31.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 45c | 31.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 69c | 28.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 47c | 28.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 47c | 24.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 48c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 46c | 22.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.