Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19b103a380b384ef2f75eb2b39fa1199a7d25729ceb7a678dae4c9255631b37c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 1,539$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 2c | 1,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 2c | 850$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 799.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 649.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 594.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 462.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…d917backed Under | 50c | 228.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…85a3backed Under | 50c | 226.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Under | 50c | 225.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…a834backed Under | 50c | 224.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…9e3cbacked Under | 50c | 223.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…7b54backed Under | 50c | 223.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…cb42backed Under | 50c | 217.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…5195backed Under | 50c | 217.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…8e97backed Under | 50c | 215.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa876…ed40backed Under | 50c | 212.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…8af9backed Under | 50c | 209.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…6df7backed Under | 50c | 205.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…2754backed Under | 50c | 202.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d448backed Under | 50c | 198.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e6…8431backed Under | 50c | 198.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…ea8abacked Over | 74c | 171.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…ed41backed Under | 26c | 171.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 80c | 128.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 75c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 26c | 76.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.