TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks77c27,000$20,752 inWon+$6,248.0264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed Spurs23c23,251$5,348 inLost-$5,347.682347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs29c10,497$3,000 inLost-$3,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks72c4,000$2,860 inWon+$1,1402,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks71c2,789$1,984 inWon+$804.7542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs26c1,973$513 inLost-$512.8916633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks72c1,546$1,107 inWon+$438.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs23c1,200$276 inLost-$2761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks72c1,073$772 inWon+$301.171,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs23c1,000$230 inLost-$23010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks74c972.06$722 inWon+$250.2125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks72c796.33$574 inWon+$222.321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs27c450$122 inLost-$121.53948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks72c395.92$287 inWon+$109.1353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks71c300$213 inWon+$879956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59db…c353backed Spurs24c250.54$60 inLost-$60.131216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc899…7652backed Knicks73c150.68$110 inWon+$40.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Spurs26c148.74$39 inLost-$39.365244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks75c128.51$96 inWon+$32.1513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks72c100$72 inWon+$28.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Spurs26c100$26 inLost-$268353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f52…0380backed Knicks70c100$70 inWon+$302055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked Knicks74c97.3$72 inWon+$25.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Spurs26c76.11$20 inLost-$202766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks73c75$55 inWon+$20.2530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3c…4cfbbacked Knicks76c71.05$54 inWon+$17.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs24c69.99$17 inLost-$17.18355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks72c55.33$40 inWon+$15.4910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Knicks76c51.51$39 inWon+$12.511275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs26c39.22$10 inLost-$10.240548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks71c35.97$26 inWon+$10.4322753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks74c30.01$22 inWon+$7.9510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Knicks73c27.4$20 inWon+$7.367353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Knicks79c25.27$20 inWon+$5.271741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Knicks75c20.15$15 inWon+$5.043871.1%27 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6664…5b75backed Knicks71c20$14 inWon+$5.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Knicks73c19.99$15 inWon+$5.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Knicks72c16.67$12 inWon+$4.675536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0e…accebacked Knicks74c14.69$11 inWon+$3.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Knicks78c14.4$11 inWon+$3.162373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.