MLB · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e4a49a81a97f36c012bbb2a8cb57a1b5ab28952345f94e48755635d2a5248e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 12,539$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,261.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 12,450$7,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 5,873$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 3,451$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.29 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 3,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 1,966$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 1,752$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,533$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 593.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 500.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 392.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 392.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 350.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 333.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 322$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 293$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 246.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 246.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 213.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 211.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 159.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 155.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 146.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 127.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 107.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 88.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 72.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 71.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 69.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 57.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 52.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 47.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 45.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 45.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 36.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 34.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 30.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 25.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.