MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d7618e95b9c7b5f9ea78a84f5ed596d5af20b7a09faf94c6f29939d9b6501d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 44c | 15,783$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.52 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 12,815$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 2,333$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.41 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 2,186$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 1,937$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 1,201$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 45c | 1,140$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.21 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 1,039$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 55c | 773.41$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.03 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 761.61$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.41 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 67c | 708.48$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 45c | 638.29$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.23 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 585$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 19c | 467$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 45c | 425.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 71c | 407.23$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 380$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 365.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 43c | 264.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 12c | 232.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 78c | 213.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Over | 45c | 202.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 57c | 179.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 176.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Over | 45c | 166.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 45c | 108.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 45c | 106.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 44c | 103.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 56c | 101.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 57c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…391bbacked Over | 45c | 95.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed Over | 45c | 89.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 56c | 89.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 74.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 44c | 69.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 49.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 45c | 43.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed Over | 45c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…6690backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 74c | 33.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 57c | 30.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 29.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 44c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 45c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.