MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeaa08766fe29ed8ab79b10f6bf7d324e95714341157a42f990b06e3f36a1e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Los Angeles Dodgers, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 33,333$10,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,666.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…6392backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 19,800$10,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,098 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 17,668$8,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,005.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 7,777$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 6,389$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 5,093$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.38 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,804$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 2,794$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,183$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.31 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 620.28$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 16c | 591.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 588$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 390$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 360.88$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 342$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 321.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 264$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 247.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 177.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 164.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 14c | 143.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 138$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 137.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 133.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…5de2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 131.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 118.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 102.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 99.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 94.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 92.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 79.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 64.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 54.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 42.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3f0abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 25.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.