CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4958a8c5c28704ba93e110df5d3cf5f82be255a0b69d8951d18d0c9346a2e823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 20c | 7,429$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 50c | 4,000$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 2,115$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 27c | 2,096$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.28 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 50c | 1,145$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.36 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 3c | 940.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 19c | 800$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 18c | 759$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 68c | 350.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 50c | 328.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Under | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 10c | 286.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 168$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 23c | 150.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 146.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Over | 45c | 137.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 53c | 41.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 54c | 37.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Under | 54c | 31.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Over | 57c | 31.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Under | 58c | 29.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked Under | 50c | 29.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 25.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f4…cd48backed Over | 66c | 22.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Over | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 49c | 20.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 79c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)Inner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5)Inner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.