CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69922152d98649146f36d78e46021d2ce719b87d779142da71b70e24c11652d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Over | 67c | 10,757$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,234.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 4,619$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.52 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 2c | 3,962$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 59c | 2,963$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 45c | 2,136$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.36 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…d71bbacked Under | 40c | 1,208$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 670.44$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.74 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 47c | 615.33$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 442.97$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.76 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Under | 14c | 220$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Under | 30c | 132.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Over | 55c | 128.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 66c | 128.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…6fb1backed Under | 63c | 122.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 58c | 109.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 56c | 97.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 58c | 97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 45c | 91.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…eb23backed Under | 61c | 71.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 43c | 67.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 49c | 57.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Under | 63c | 54.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 48c | 53.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 61c | 50.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…0cbdbacked Over | 42c | 44.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd5…5857backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 56c | 43.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x008c…47a9backed Over | 59c | 35.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 34.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Over | 46c | 31.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 67c | 29.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Over | 51c | 23.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Over | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…ddb9backed Under | 71c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…b43cbacked Over | 64c | 18.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…da9fbacked Over | 80c | 14.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.