Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff68e985e97627868c2642f992d5920f63aca509c404cf3a9d1123422e2849ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Purdue Boilermakers, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Purdue Boilermakers | 62c | 6,651$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.9 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed USC Trojans | 52c | 3,740$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Trojans | 23c | 1,546$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.05 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 59c | 1,023$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed USC Trojans | 12c | 999.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 72c | 800.56$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers | 71c | 770.48$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Boilermakers | 69c | 681.45$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans | 30c | 596.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Trojans | 44c | 559.74$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.26 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Purdue Boilermakers | 79c | 542.8$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked USC Trojans | 50c | 502.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed USC Trojans | 38c | 482$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 70c | 397.62$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked USC Trojans | 48c | 338.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 303.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Purdue Boilermakers | 80c | 270$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked USC Trojans | 10c | 253$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 251.87$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed USC Trojans | 19c | 238.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Purdue Boilermakers | 57c | 215.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed USC Trojans | 29c | 215.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed USC Trojans | 32c | 212.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed USC Trojans | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed USC Trojans | 23c | 173.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 65c | 159.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 79c | 152.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed USC Trojans | 20c | 149$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed USC Trojans | 36c | 144.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed USC Trojans | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked USC Trojans | 19c | 131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed USC Trojans | 17c | 128.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked USC Trojans | 35c | 109.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked USC Trojans | 19c | 101.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed USC Trojans | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed USC Trojans | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked USC Trojans | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked USC Trojans | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked USC Trojans | 42c | 95.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed USC Trojans | 36c | 80.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…20a8backed USC Trojans | 15c | 70.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed USC Trojans | 24c | 67.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Purdue Boilermakers | 60c | 64.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Purdue Boilermakers | 62c | 63.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked USC Trojans | 19c | 53.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 59c | 53.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked USC Trojans | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 64c | 46.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked USC Trojans | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 66c | 36.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…07f3backed USC Trojans | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…3053backed Purdue Boilermakers | 75c | 29.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed USC Trojans | 47c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Purdue Boilermakers | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Boilermakers | 67c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojansthis page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojans: O/U 154.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojans: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)USC Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.