Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO1)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed63e33e54a7cb37687c60e4ebdf2c0d838c900e4e4c0a75b4814de72c88c24c

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fluxo W7M
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,034 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fluxo W7M	28c	5,733$1,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.49	1,630	40.1%654 W · 976 L	+48.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Fluxo W7M	2c	5,100$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	284	4.6%13 W · 271 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed RED Canids	72c	4,000$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.99	416	44.2%184 W · 232 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed RED Canids	73c	3,500$2,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-5.1wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed RED Canids	73c	2,000$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.17	1,029	52.3%538 W · 491 L	+27.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Fluxo W7M	27c	1,839$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.49	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked RED Canids	74c	1,417$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.02	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+10.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Fluxo W7M	41c	1,215$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.35	690	41.3%285 W · 405 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Fluxo W7M	27c	1,206$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.62	460	33.9%156 W · 304 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Fluxo W7M	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	1,151	56%644 W · 507 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Fluxo W7M	30c	897.5$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.49	131	37.4%49 W · 82 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed RED Canids	67c	882.27$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.61	697	56.5%394 W · 303 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Fluxo W7M	10c	845.44$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.2	299	27.8%83 W · 216 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed RED Canids	77c	841.13$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.2	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Fluxo W7M	28c	800$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked RED Canids	51c	800$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	237	51.5%122 W · 115 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo W7M	36c	759.28$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.75	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Fluxo W7M	27c	695.93$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.1	771	31.8%245 W · 526 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Fluxo W7M	28c	621$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.53	159	45.3%72 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Fluxo W7M	12c	619.99$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.67	456	18.9%86 W · 370 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Fluxo W7M	27c	507.64$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	487	42.3%206 W · 281 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae6…7acabacked RED Canids	72c	418.2$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.2	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed RED Canids	70c	379$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.7	147	53.7%79 W · 68 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Fluxo W7M	47c	373.85$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.84	486	52.1%253 W · 233 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M	35c	323.48$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.56	850	46%391 W · 459 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed RED Canids	58c	311$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.62	566	50%283 W · 283 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed Fluxo W7M	25c	300$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Fluxo W7M	13c	300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	95	9.5%9 W · 86 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Fluxo W7M	33c	235.12$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.69	306	32%98 W · 208 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked RED Canids	58c	209.66$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.26	182	41.8%76 W · 106 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed RED Canids	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	1,056	28.5%301 W · 755 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed RED Canids	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	421	48.2%203 W · 218 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Fluxo W7M	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	217	47%102 W · 115 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7c13…a814backed Fluxo W7M	20c	197.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	36cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Fluxo W7M	19c	195.79$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	563	17.2%97 W · 466 L	-16.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M	8c	191$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cc…f9c0backed RED Canids	70c	178.97$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.39	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed RED Canids	73c	175$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.25	146	50%73 W · 73 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…60afbacked RED Canids	57c	174.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.31	397	47.9%190 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed RED Canids	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed RED Canids	58c	148.73$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.47	743	44%327 W · 416 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Fluxo W7M	28c	145.02$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.07	256	39.5%101 W · 155 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Fluxo W7M	20c	116.65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	275	35.3%97 W · 178 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Fluxo W7M	41c	111.3$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1,477	48.3%713 W · 764 L	+45.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Fluxo W7M	18c	82.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked RED Canids	71c	73.26$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.21	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	-16.5wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf919…7ebdbacked RED Canids	59c	60.92$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.18	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked RED Canids	72c	56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.78	259	23.2%60 W · 199 L	-11.9wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fluxo W7M	21c	55.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	540	54.3%293 W · 247 L	+26.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ca…5163backed Fluxo W7M	27c	50.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb79…91b5backed RED Canids	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a26…e195backed Fluxo W7M	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked RED Canids	74c	37.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed RED Canids	70c	37.58$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.27	397	50.1%199 W · 198 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e2…7df5backed RED Canids	80c	36.83$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.37	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-40%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fluxo W7M	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	1,158	42.6%493 W · 665 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed RED Canids	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	222	34.7%77 W · 145 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked RED Canids	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	184	40.8%75 W · 109 L	-14.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed RED Canids	72c	29.23$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.18	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked RED Canids	73c	28.71$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.87	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…46e7backed RED Canids	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…1640backed RED Canids	74c	20.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed RED Canids	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	168	42.9%72 W · 96 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84b6…4a66backed RED Canids	72c	17.79$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed RED Canids	74c	14.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.78	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	-7.0wins	-0.18per pick	76cpaid	-24%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO1)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market