Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd51c6b78aa49c12094f815ddae2219323bbf0e79a617561e2e88c4d7801c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Miss Rebelsof Ole Miss Rebels, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 1,337$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10c | 1,200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 29c | 761.24$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 60c | 549$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 507.73$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 30c | 384.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 70c | 380.87$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Ole Miss Rebels | 55c | 362.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 43c | 289.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 54c | 284.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 50c | 207.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 55c | 158.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 22c | 128.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 65c | 118.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 68c | 111.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ole Miss Rebels | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 15c | 93.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…e378backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 23c | 90.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels | 40c | 84.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 59c | 69.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ole Miss Rebels | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Ole Miss Rebels | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 41c | 32.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…b323backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 31.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ole Miss Rebels | 33c | 30.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 72c | 22.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c50…15d8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.