Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe42b0b607ab92fffb51c1394e92a2232255cbc3f78c465972659eb247f7757c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Morris Colonialsof Robert Morris Colonials, Northern Kentucky Norse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 4,213$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.43 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 3,971$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 3,054$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 2,131$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.77 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Robert Morris Colonials | 57c | 1,605$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Robert Morris Colonials | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 1,451$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 1,189$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.74 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 909.71$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.37 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Robert Morris Colonials | 28c | 779.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.09 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 54c | 700.98$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 53c | 639.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.65 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 548.53$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robert Morris Colonials | 54c | 524.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 523.29$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.37 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 415.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 60c | 331$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 54c | 311$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 41c | 296.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 232.63$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 214$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 183$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 182$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 38c | 175.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 46c | 124$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 22c | 113.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…9ec1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 28c | 97.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…3053backed Robert Morris Colonials | 36c | 82.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 28c | 66.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 57.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 77c | 52.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Robert Morris Colonials | 52c | 51.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 50.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Robert Morris Colonials | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 45.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…7c34backed Robert Morris Colonials | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 36.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 75c | 34.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Northern Kentucky Norsethis page
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 153.5Over won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-6.5)Robert Morris Colonials won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.