Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. CSUN Matadors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c898394c484ad956a86778f85f1060c9a462f247634858643003ebe10b5b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Long Beach State Beachof Long Beach State Beach, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked CSUN Matadors | 74c | 665$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 437.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked CSUN Matadors | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 51c | 381.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed CSUN Matadors | 18c | 363.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 27c | 347.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Long Beach State Beach | 21c | 334$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed CSUN Matadors | 63c | 321.05$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked CSUN Matadors | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked CSUN Matadors | 15c | 199.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 18c | 181$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Long Beach State Beach | 47c | 177$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked CSUN Matadors | 64c | 148$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 124.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed CSUN Matadors | 65c | 112.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Long Beach State Beach | 28c | 84.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Long Beach State Beach | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors | 72c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed CSUN Matadors | 67c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed CSUN Matadors | 74c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 48.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 43c | 32.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Long Beach State Beach vs. CSUN Matadorsthis page
- Spread: CSUN Matadors (-5.5)Long Beach State Beach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.