Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee6e1d96eb2f08a64922bf1b47bd0fbec68e8b74cc0827abdc55409c3d55b8ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof Olimpia Milano, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olimpia Milano | 33c | 760$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 67c | 714$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 22c | 588.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.92 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 566$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 33c | 559.22$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.22 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 33c | 547.13$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.23 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 503.17$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Olimpia Milano | 53c | 445$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 328$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Olimpia Milano | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 284.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 269.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Olimpia Milano | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 58c | 138.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olimpia Milano | 68c | 116.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 114$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 19c | 103.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Olimpia Milano | 66c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 33c | 96.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 95.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…d87dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 83.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Olimpia Milano | 52c | 79.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 79.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Olimpia Milano | 66c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 34c | 72.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 71.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 25c | 71.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Olimpia Milano | 62c | 68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Olimpia Milano | 51c | 65.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Olimpia Milano | 65c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Olimpia Milano | 76c | 57.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Olimpia Milano | 64c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Olimpia Milano | 66c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d8…d6d2backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 29.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Olimpia Milano | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…ecaebacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Olimpia Milano | 42c | 24.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1543backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Olimpia Milano | 62c | 22.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Olimpia Milano | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.