Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe968871baaf241db733b9e9e6f2398725b1499596935cd3f27eea0d5b96ebdc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida A&M Rattlersof Florida A&M Rattlers, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 56c | 2,646$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.77 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 29c | 1,695$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.92 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida A&M Rattlers | 54c | 961.27$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 43c | 846.21$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.1 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 27c | 746.31$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 26c | 672.79$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 26c | 635.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 43c | 604.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 58c | 510.83$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 28c | 356.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 45c | 319.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 49c | 304.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 59c | 248.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 58c | 231$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 36c | 225$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 56c | 213$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida A&M Rattlers | 40c | 174.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 33c | 171.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 47c | 125.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 50c | 89.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 28c | 84.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 43c | 70.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 30c | 53.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 51c | 29.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Florida A&M Rattlers | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsthis page
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: O/U 148.5Under won
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (-2.5)Florida A&M Rattlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.