Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfcbc7a701919d736c6f314dea0a04d8b3160b5c4d0cb59442c6416a550c6112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MI Emiratesof Abu Dhabi Knight Riders, MI Emirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 1c | 4,351$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed MI Emirates | 59c | 1,317$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.23 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Emirates | 74c | 831.55$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 43c | 785.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 21c | 533.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 40c | 119.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8a…64e3backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed MI Emirates | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked MI Emirates | 49c | 43.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed MI Emirates | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked MI Emirates | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed MI Emirates | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1)this page
- ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Abu Dhabi Knight Riders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.