Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220c332d8e4bade862751d0534d46ed9b365d11a80659596f9b1b4c44be18035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 3,218$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.15 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 72c | 2,214$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.51 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 74c | 2,177$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.04 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 9c | 1,075$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 26c | 600.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.29 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 73c | 357$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 310.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 27c | 182.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Over | 67c | 150.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 27c | 131$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 28c | 92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 86.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 24c | 83.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 81.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 50c | 63.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 44c | 60.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 27c | 57.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 73c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 47c | 35.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 32c | 34.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 71c | 32.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 73c | 31.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 72c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 72c | 29.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 28.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 70c | 18.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.