Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ded762582d0c22c1ed19ae8000fa3dc772747e8eaddbf89761570adaddee70d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,840$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.3 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,281$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 54c | 1,114$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 341.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 288.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 8c | 288.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 157.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 148.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 129.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 127.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 53c | 108.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 47c | 74.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 49c | 65.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.