Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70dd439a1eaefa5881c6ddcbefae83c3d5828eaa21a267a4dd6e067d9793fd90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 77c | 3,487$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.26 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 26c | 1,203$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 74c | 1,181$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.73 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 633.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 346.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8c7ebacked Over | 22c | 226.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 26c | 99.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…a821backed Under | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe41…cab4backed Under | 78c | 17.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.